000
WTNT35 KNHC 070848
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     AL102010
400 AM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010

...HERMINE LASHES DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN
SPREADING NORTHWARD...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.0N 98.0W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSE OF FALFURRIAS TEXAS
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SW OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM
WARNINGS FOR MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.0 WEST.  HERMINE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH AND THEN NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION BY THIS EVENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  A SUSTAINED WIND OF 55
MPH...89 KM/HR...AND A GUST TO 72 MPH...117 KM/HR...WERE REPORTED
AT HARLINGEN TEXAS AROUND 100 AM CDT.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS.  THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS NEAR AND ALONG THE PATH OF
HERMINE THROUGH THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.

STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO
3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF SOUTHERN
TEXAS.  WATER LEVELS WILL BEGIN TO RECEDE LATER TODAY AS HERMINE
MOVES FARTHER INLAND.

RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES POSSIBLE...FROM SOUTHERN TEXAS NORTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN TEXAS...AND OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA.  THESE
RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS...NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...AND MISSOURI DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.  THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/BROWN